ERCOT shows high probability of rolling outages in a winter storm

New ERCOT analysis shows 50% chance of rolling outages for Texans during a storm similar to Winter Storm Elliott in December 2022.

Late last week, ERCOT released its Monthly Outlook of Resource Adequacy. It forecasts that if Texas experienced another Winter Storm Elliott — the freeze that hit Texas two years ago — there would be a 50% probability of rolling outages. 

Peak demand during Elliott hit about 74,000 megawatts. That said, the event occurred on a holiday weekend, when the s…